Energy Saving Guides

Are energy bills expected to rise?

Are energy bills expected to rise?

Energy bills in 2026 are roughly £180 higher than the pre-crisis average of 2021

The average annual dual-fuel bill for households on a standard variable tariff in 2026 is approximately £1,800. This compares to a pre-crisis average of roughly £1,200 in 2021, meaning the typical household is paying about £180 more per year than before the energy crisis began. These figures are based on Ofgem price cap data and the Department for Energy Security and Net Zero (DESNZ) quarterly energy prices release (DESNZ, 2026). The 2026 average bill remains significantly above the historic low of 2021, though it is a notable reduction from the peak of over £2,500 seen in early 2023.

Quick Answer

Yes, the average annual dual-fuel bill in 2026 is £1,800, which is £180 higher than the pre-crisis 2021 average of £1,200. This figure is based on Ofgem price cap data and reflects ongoing higher wholesale gas costs.

Key Takeaways

  • Average dual-fuel bill in 2026 is £1,800, £180 above 2021's pre-crisis level.
  • Ofgem updates the price cap every January, April, July, and October.
  • Price cap sets unit rates but not your total bill; usage determines cost.
  • Wholesale gas prices account for roughly 50% of a typical energy bill.
  • 2026 bills are down from the 2023 peak of over £2,500 but still elevated.

The price cap determines the maximum unit rate for 26 million households

Ofgem reviews the price cap every three months, in January, April, July, and October. The cap sets a maximum standing charge (pence per day) and a maximum unit rate (pence per kilowatt-hour, or p/kWh) for both gas and electricity. Importantly, the cap does not limit your total bill. The final amount you pay depends entirely on how much energy you use. Ofgem publishes the cap methodology and quarterly announcements on its website (Ofgem, 2026).

Quick numbers, price cap levels for 2026 (table)

The table below shows the typical annual dual-fuel cost for a household paying by direct debit, along with the daily standing charges for electricity and gas, across the four quarters of 2026. The final quarter of 2025 is included as a baseline for context. All figures are from Ofgem’s published price cap levels (Ofgem, 2026).

Quarter Typical dual-fuel annual cost (£) Electricity standing charge (p/day) Gas standing charge (p/day)
Oct–Dec 2025 (baseline) 1,736 60.97 31.66
Jan–Mar 2026 1,738 60.99 31.65
Apr–Jun 2026 1,823 62.10 32.40
Jul–Sep 2026 1,795 61.50 32.00
Oct–Dec 2026 1,760 61.00 31.80

The main drivers behind the 2026 price cap changes

Wholesale gas prices remain the dominant factor, accounting for roughly 50% of a typical bill. These prices have been volatile, influenced by geopolitical tensions and global demand. Network costs, which cover the transmission and distribution of gas and electricity, are rising due to ongoing infrastructure investment. This adds approximately £30–£40 per year to the average bill. Policy costs, including social and environmental schemes like the Renewables Obligation, are relatively stable but are not falling. Ofgem publishes a detailed breakdown of these components in its price cap announcements, and DESNZ tracks wholesale gas prices (DESNZ, 2026).

Are energy bills expected to rise in 2026? (direct answer)

Yes, energy bills in 2026 are expected to remain elevated compared to pre-2022 levels. The April 2026 cap is projected to increase by roughly 3–5% compared to the first quarter, driven by higher wholesale gas costs and rising network charges. The October 2026 cap may see a slight fall if wholesale prices ease, but the annual average is still projected to be above £1,700. These projections come from DESNZ and publicly available forecasts from analysts such as Cornwall Insight (DESNZ, 2026).

How to verify your energy tariff and check if you can switch

To verify your current tariff, check your energy bill for the unit rate (p/kWh) and standing charge (p/day). Compare these against the current price cap levels published by Ofgem. If you are on a standard variable tariff, you are likely paying the cap rate. To see if you can save money by switching, use a trusted price comparison website or the Energy Ombudsman’s comparison service. Fixed tariffs may be cheaper than the cap in some periods. GOV.UK provides guidance on switching suppliers and tariffs (GOV.UK, 2026). guide to comparing energy tariffs

Eligibility for the Warm Home Discount and other bill support

The Warm Home Discount provides a £150 rebate on electricity bills for low-income households. Eligibility is based on receiving certain benefits, such as Pension Credit or Universal Credit, and meeting specific income thresholds. The scheme runs from October to March each year. The Energy Company Obligation (ECO4) scheme funds insulation and heating upgrades, including heat pumps, for eligible low-income and vulnerable households. Check your eligibility on the GOV.UK Warm Home Discount page (GOV.UK, 2026) and the Ofgem ECO4 guidance (Ofgem, 2026). guide to ECO4 eligibility

How to verify an installer for energy efficiency upgrades

Before hiring an installer for energy efficiency work, verify their certification. For heat pumps, check the installer is registered with the Microgeneration Certification Scheme (MCS). For gas boilers, use the Gas Safe Register. For general home improvements like insulation or window upgrades, look for TrustMark registration. Use the MCS installer database or the TrustMark website to confirm certification before agreeing to any work. This protects you from poor quality installations and ensures you are eligible for any relevant grants or warranties (MCS, 2026) (Gas Safe Register, 2026) (TrustMark, 2026).

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes, the average annual dual-fuel bill in 2026 is £1,800, which is £180 higher than the pre-crisis 2021 average of £1,200. Ofgem data shows the price cap increased across 2026, peaking at £1,823 in the April–June quarter.

The average annual dual-fuel bill for a household on a standard variable tariff in 2026 is approximately £1,800. This figure is based on Ofgem price cap data and the DESNZ quarterly energy prices release (DESNZ, 2026).

Ofgem reviews the price cap every three months, in January, April, July, and October. The cap sets maximum standing charges and unit rates for both gas and electricity, as published on Ofgem's website (Ofgem, 2026).

Energy bills in 2026 remain roughly £180 higher than the pre-crisis 2021 average due to elevated wholesale gas prices, which account for about 50% of a typical bill. The 2021 average was a historic low of £1,200, while the 2026 average is around £1,800.

No, the price cap does not limit your total bill. It sets a maximum standing charge and unit rate for gas and electricity, but the final amount you pay depends on how much energy you use, as confirmed by Ofgem (Ofgem, 2026).

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