The price cap will rise by £63 in October, the third increase this year. For the average household on a standard variable tariff, that means an annual bill of roughly £1,923. Yet thousands of UK homes will pay even more than that, not because they used more energy, but because they failed to read their meter.
As reported by BBC News, energy suppliers and consumer groups are urging households to submit meter readings now, before the price rise takes effect. The logic is simple: if you don’t, your supplier will estimate your usage. And estimates, as anyone who has opened a shocking bill knows, tend to err on the side of the supplier, not the customer.
Who is at risk, and why
Of the 28 million households in Great Britain, roughly 12 million still have traditional meters, those you need to read manually. Smart meters, which send readings automatically, cover the rest. But smart meter adoption is not universal: some homes have them but they are not functioning correctly, and others refused installation outright. If you fall into either category, you are exposed.
Estimated billing works like this: your supplier looks at your past usage, adjusts for seasonal patterns, and guesses. In a period of rising prices, that guess often inflates consumption. The result? You pay for energy you never used. Citizens Advice reports that complaints about estimated bills rose 14% in the past year. The typical overcharge ranges from £50 to £200, depending on how long the estimate runs.
The catch is that suppliers are under no obligation to correct an estimate unless you provide a reading. If you don’t, the estimate becomes the basis for your direct debit, and you may not notice the overpayment until months later, when you request a refund, if you even think to do so.
What it costs a typical 3-bed semi
Take a 3-bed semi in Manchester, using 12,000 kWh of gas and 2,900 kWh of electricity per year. Under the October price cap, their annual bill comes to around £1,923. But if their supplier estimates usage at 14,000 kWh of gas, a 17% overestimate, that adds £147 to the bill. For a household already stretched by mortgage costs and food inflation, that sum is not trivial.
Energy Saving Trust data shows that overestimation is most common in spring and autumn, when heating use is transitional and harder to predict. Submitting a reading at the start of each month eliminates the guesswork entirely. The process takes two minutes: find the meter, read the numbers left to right, ignore red digits, and enter them on your supplier’s app or website. If you cannot find your meter, call your supplier, they are legally required to help.
Grants and the bigger picture
Accurate meter readings help you avoid overpayment. They also help you track your energy use, which is the first step to reducing it. Ofgem’s data shows that households that monitor their usage cut consumption by 5–10% on average, worth £96–£192 a year at current prices.
For those considering eco upgrades, accurate historical usage data is essential. Solar panel installers, heat pump designers, and insulation contractors all ask for 12 months of consumption figures. If those figures are based on estimates, your system will be oversized or undersized, wasting money in either case. A heat pump designed for an overestimated load will cost more to install and run less efficiently. A solar array sized to estimated usage may not cover your actual needs.
Government schemes like the Great British Insulation Scheme and the Boiler Upgrade Scheme require proof of current energy use. Estimated readings can delay applications or lead to incorrect grant amounts. The Energy Saving Trust advises submitting a reading before applying for any home energy grant.
What to do now
If you have a traditional meter, submit a reading today. Do it online, via your supplier’s app, or by phone. If you have a smart meter, check that it is sending readings, your online account should show recent data. If not, contact your supplier to fix it.
Set a recurring monthly reminder. The first of each month works well. It takes two minutes and saves you from the estimated-bill lottery. For households on pre-payment meters, the same logic applies: submit a reading to ensure your top-up reflects actual use, not a supplier’s guess.
Households on standard variable tariffs should submit readings before 1 October, when the new price cap applies. Those on fixed tariffs should check their deal’s end date and submit a reading on the day the fix ends. The window for action is narrow, but the penalty for inaction is real.
Frequently Asked Questions
You can submit a reading online through your supplier's website or app, by phone, or by email. You will need the numbers from your meter, read them left to right, ignoring any digits in red or after a decimal point. Most suppliers confirm the reading instantly and update your account within 24 hours.
Yes, if it is working correctly and sending readings. But some smart meters lose connectivity or are not set to send readings automatically. Check your online account to see if recent readings appear. If not, contact your supplier to resolve the issue, or submit manual readings in the meantime.